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The Micro-Geography of Demographic Change 1991-2001
Project LinksOther Projects in This Theme:
External Links:  ResearchersAbstract:This project will quantify and map changes in population size and social characteristics which occurred in small geographical areas across the UK between the 1991 and 2001 Censuses. We will calculate the components of demographic change so that we can understand the relative contributions of natural change and migration. We will calculate deprivation indexes to identify areas becoming differently deprived over time and will analyse 1991-2001 change in rates of unemployment, health and housing tenure. Before any interpretive analyses can be carried out, fundamental aspects relating to methods of data estimation must be addressed which otherwise prohibit the derivation of time-series for small area socio-demographic statistics. Population-related data directly comparable in both 1991 and 2001 are not available for areas smaller than local authority districts. This lack of comparability relates to changes in census geographies which occurred during the inter-censal period, to inconsistencies over time in census data detail as well as to adjustments made to the 1991 Census population counts after the 2001 Census was released. The project will apply methods previously developed under ESRC funding to solve these problems. The versatile dataset outputs produced will be made available to other researchers and will thereby provide a bedrock for further socio-demographic research. This research will establish the relationships between natural change and migration and changes in the social characteristics of small geographical areas. This will have considerable impact on the understanding of various geographical aspects of population trends and processes through the identification of:
The identification of areas which are becoming more or less deprived over time will help determine whether regeneration policy has been effective or where resources are needed. Future policy will be better informed. The aims and objectives of the research are to:
Department:School of Geography, University of Leeds Duration:October 2005-2007 Grant Type:Small Research Grant PublicationsNorman, P. (2010) Demographic and deprivation change in the UK, 1991-2001, In Stillwell, J., Norman, P., Thomas, C. and Surridge, P. (eds.) Spatial and Social Disparities Understanding Population Trends and Processes Volume 2, Springer (forthcoming) Stillwell, J., Norman, P., Thomas, C. and Surridge, P. (2010) Spatial and social disparities, In Stillwell, J., Norman, P., Thomas, C. and Surridge, P. Spatial and Social Disparities Understanding Population Trends and Processes Volume 2, Springer (forthcoming) Norman, P. (2009) Identifying change over time in small area socio-economic deprivation, Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy (in press) Norman, P., Gregory, I., Dorling, D. and Baker, A. (2008) Geographical trends in infant mortality: England and Wales, 1970–2006, Health Statistics Quarterly, 40: 18-29. Norman, P., Simpson, L. and Sabater, A. (2008) ‘Estimating with Confidence’ and hindsight: new UK small area population estimates for 1991, Population, Space and Place, 14(5): 449-472. PresentationsNorman P (2007) USING SMALL AREA STATISTICS TO DEVELOP PUBLIC POLICY What already exists and where next? Presentation at Our Dynamic Earth, Edinburgh, 6th November 2007 Norman P (2006) Challenges for creating a time-series of socioeconomic data. Presented at CSAP seminar, November Norman, P. and Simpson, L. (2006) Sub-district population projections by ethnic group: problems and solutions, Presentation at the BSPS Conference, September. Norman, P. (2006) Vital statistics: an invaluable resource for health, Presentation at the Health Surveys User Meeting, July. Norman, P., Boyle, P. and Brown, M. (2006) Which influences the self-reporting of health, country of birth or country of residence? (British analysis using individual-level data), Presentation at the International Population Geography Conference, Liverpool, June. Norman, P. and Simpson, L. (2006) How small a population can be usefully projected? Presentation at the EAPS Conference, Liverpool, June.
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